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Scenario Lab

Five pathways to 2040, each with its uncertainty band and the four 2030 screening tests evaluated against it.

Scope
All facilities (national)
Period
2018 – Q1 2026, the whole record
Basis
Monte-Carlo ensemble mean
Methane
GWP₁₀₀ 29.8 (IPCC AR6)
Adjusting the levers runs the projection for you, and is available to analysts, operators and NCEL.
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NextOutlook to 2040Projected trajectories and screening tests